Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61f1d121c53a62a6249b86f785d706e4ff4e8f0cf71868cd7acf2ba5a9ce3f41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 70c | 6,098$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.34 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 3,579$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 71c | 1,442$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.27 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 1,309$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 29c | 1,155$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.83 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 737.45$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.19 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 732.08$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 29c | 681.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 546.67$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 23c | 453.78$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 452.51$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.73 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 72c | 449.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 30c | 335.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 77c | 216$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 26c | 207.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 151.51$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 22c | 149.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 14c | 147.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 29c | 131.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 29c | 120.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 119.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 21c | 94.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 86.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 77.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…76bfbacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 49.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 28c | 46.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 74cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 74c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked No | 71c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 75cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 76c | 15.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.