Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe597265ed511866eff08289f8d029e811924f4c82403a02723391ceb6827d118
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 60c | 12,547$7,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,518.94 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 40c | 6,069$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.34 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 3,689$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.76 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 60c | 2,223$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.97 | 945 | 43.1%407 W · 538 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 40c | 1,500$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.9 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 66c | 935.76$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.84 | 663 | 41.6%276 W · 387 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes | 41c | 926.83$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.83 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 29c | 864.89$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.74 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 40c | 818.93$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.52 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 740.2$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.73 | 2,361 | 46.8%1,106 W · 1,255 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 65c | 567.7$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 66c | 449.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 431.72$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.94 | 2,132 | 47.9%1,022 W · 1,110 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 62c | 347.53$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.47 | 667 | 47.8%319 W · 348 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 61c | 334.18$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.85 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 40c | 251.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed No | 42c | 238.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 39c | 237.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…b4dabacked No | 39c | 215.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 30c | 188.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 168.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 151.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 151.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 2,588 | 52.1%1,348 W · 1,240 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Yes | 76c | 131.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 106.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 872 | 50.2%438 W · 434 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed No | 26c | 95.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 40c | 93.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 933 | 48.2%450 W · 483 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 27c | 91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 43c | 85.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 1,163 | 60.5%704 W · 459 L | +67.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 33c | 78.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…b9d4backed No | 54c | 74.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 35c | 69.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 67.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 1,139 | 50.8%579 W · 560 L | +27.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 31c | 66.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 36c | 66.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 38c | 66.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 38c | 66.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 24c | 63.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked No | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 31c | 57.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 55c | 50.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 61c | 49.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 40c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 45.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 60c | 41.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yes | 40c | 39.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 40c | 37.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 39c | 35.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 415 | 52%216 W · 199 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 31.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,001 | 53.3%534 W · 467 L | +23.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…be06backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…60ccbacked No | 64c | 23.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…76bfbacked Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.