MLB · resolved market
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a8993d384aea30e2dd9657d90de41e1a50890a897a579c58a9612b8517e3c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof St. Louis Cardinals, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 1,265$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.95 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 794.87$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.87 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 616.04$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.25 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 582.22$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 460$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.12 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 359.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 191.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 188.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 169$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 138$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 133.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 104$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 81.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 57.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 53.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 37.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…24a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 36.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…aa45backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 34.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…adc3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a9…fc5dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4da…3261backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5206backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 32.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…b036backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 32.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…745bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 32.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…8220backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 32.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…ac4abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 32.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…1f81backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 32.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…ab5dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 32.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…cbc8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 31.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…125abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 31.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…618cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 31.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b41…c98abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 31.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14e…74f1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 31.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc52…5bd3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 31.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…f426backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 31.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…d280backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 30.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…43f1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 30.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…174bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 30.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…594cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 30.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf354…5645backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c8…ccffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 29.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…0366backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 29.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…572dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…f320backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…94cabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 29.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…0380backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 29.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…f9fbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…3f71backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 28.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…85a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4141…b90fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…a082backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 27.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf723…7835backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…0ab2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…2ad0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…aceabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…fbe1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 27.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…8194backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…8539backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 26.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…f779backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 26.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…e5bebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 26.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed9c…7854backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 26.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…3732backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 26.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…8b41backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…6b74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 25.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…dc0bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 25.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…e320backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 25.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290b…394abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 24.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…4d66backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 24.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…18b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 23.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 23.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd15…d9c0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 22.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…77d2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 21.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4886backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 20.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…6d30backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 20.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…23fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 20.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 19.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.