WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5a80b9e2de43cf13cb6c088241fb1e5ebf782e412a84cdb708b55a3048737a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 3,417$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.44 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 2,814$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.48 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 2,022$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 1,372$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.21 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 526$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Dallas Wings | 21c | 470.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 410.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 403.37$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.84 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Dallas Wings | 57c | 351.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 346.57$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 341$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…1d4bbacked Dallas Wings | 31c | 319.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 63c | 250.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 60c | 211.51$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 64c | 207.65$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Dallas Wings | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Dallas Wings | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Minnesota Lynx | 76c | 114$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dallas Wings | 24c | 109.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Minnesota Lynx | 62c | 107.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Minnesota Lynx | 69c | 100.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed Dallas Wings | 37c | 80.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 67.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…b494backed Dallas Wings | 19c | 60.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Dallas Wings | 26c | 56.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 51.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 41.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…9b6dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Minnesota Lynx | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 29.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 24.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 24.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 22.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas WingsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.