WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeca30b388eb461aa68ca00a0cb1536dc40ecb7c905d7b71c6a8de242c6eeb35d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 4,303$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.53 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 3,638$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.39 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 2,020$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.6 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 2,000$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.18 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 1,956$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 1,384$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.1 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 528.4$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.35 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 494.1$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 341$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 297.27$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 259.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 249.55$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 211.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 159.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 111.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 98.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 97.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 92.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 70.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 53.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 51.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 39.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 39.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 37.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 35.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 34.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 26.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 26.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 22.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 21.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 19.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas WingsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.