MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0635930398c57320608e37ac8aba3557203e11c9d325bb29669816054e318c65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago White Sox | 24c | 4,000$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.66 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 2,043$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.6 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 1,999$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.86 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 1,941$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.75 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 1,856$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.08 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 1,670$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,434$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.38 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 1,297$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.96 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 17c | 1,166$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.89 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 736.28$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.46 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 729.86$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.63 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 604.88$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.53 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 587.89$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.34 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 303.11$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 220.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 209.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 207.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 200.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…1056backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 190$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e8…1580backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 190$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 182$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 178.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 149.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 145.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 141.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 137.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 132.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 666 | 48.2%321 W · 345 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 98.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 82.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 76.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 69.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 66.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 60.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 55.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…0e06backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 55.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 49.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 45.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 43.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 43.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…db7abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 38.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 37.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 68c | 36.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 34.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 32.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 28.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 26.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 26.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 23.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…b494backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 22.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.