TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Philadelphia Phillies, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,139 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies10c7,118$720 inLost-$719.918,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox55c1,920$1,055 inWon+$864.4411,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Philadelphia Phillies47c1,689$794 inLost-$793.7291252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox76c958.67$728 inWon+$230.826,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies34c859.22$295 inLost-$294.992,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies47c559.23$262 inLost-$262.393,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Chicago White Sox78c428.82$334 inWon+$94.342,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox52c345.27$179 inWon+$165.798,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Philadelphia Phillies21c295.41$62 inLost-$62.042,17239.9%866 W · 1,306 L+1.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox66c252.68$167 inWon+$85.914,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox76c207.03$157 inWon+$50.1912,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago White Sox66c205.7$136 inWon+$69.942,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Philadelphia Phillies34c129.43$44 inLost-$44.013,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago White Sox66c122$81 inWon+$41.481,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Philadelphia Phillies35c120.11$42 inLost-$41.7515942.8%68 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Philadelphia Phillies28c120$34 inLost-$33.61,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa89…ccd2backed Chicago White Sox66c110.61$73 inWon+$37.6119154.5%104 W · 87 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies16c107.86$17 inLost-$17.261,72850.4%871 W · 857 L+57.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies39c92$36 inLost-$35.766,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Philadelphia Phillies52c87.71$46 inLost-$45.6111648.3%56 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Philadelphia Phillies16c66.8$11 inLost-$10.581,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Philadelphia Phillies37c47.06$17 inLost-$17.411,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Chicago White Sox77c46.79$36 inWon+$10.892,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Chicago White Sox78c42.17$33 inWon+$9.141,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Chicago White Sox78c39.72$31 inWon+$8.691,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9af…f4f7backed Chicago White Sox76c32.95$25 inWon+$8.064740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Chicago White Sox73c27.57$20 inWon+$7.588661.6%53 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe581…d77abacked Philadelphia Phillies43c23.39$10 inLost-$10.177650%38 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked Chicago White Sox78c21.61$17 inWon+$4.719960.3%120 W · 79 L+21.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.