TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,024
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,024 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf28e…cab2backed Over36c33,012$12,034 inWon+$20,977.319749.5%48 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under63c23,849$15,134 inLost-$15,133.810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0c…7ca5backed Under70c14,330$10,023 inLost-$10,022.843036.7%11 W · 19 L-7.9wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-43.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over34c3,504$1,204 inWon+$2,300.439450%47 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under61c2,000$1,218 inLost-$1,217.729657.3%55 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over31c1,335$412 inWon+$922.9111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over32c1,158$371 inWon+$787.5791252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over37c539.83$200 inWon+$339.413,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Over36c346.01$126 inWon+$2202556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under60c248.06$149 inLost-$148.8489053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under62c238.03$149 inLost-$148.6469447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over40c196.41$79 inWon+$117.854,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over36c116$42 inWon+$73.986,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Under60c110$66 inLost-$6613759.1%81 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over40c110$44 inWon+$663,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over33c102.06$34 inWon+$68.0654651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c82.25$33 inWon+$49.358,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over41c67.96$28 inWon+$39.951,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over48c65.63$31 inWon+$34.253,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over31c51.46$16 inWon+$35.531,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon+$25.4547549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0766…77dcbacked Over40c39.15$16 inWon+$23.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over32c35.68$11 inWon+$24.261,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ac…6347backed Over48c33.26$16 inWon+$17.391478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4c8…34efbacked Under65c28.31$19 inLost-$18.543540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.