TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,442 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under39c5,210$2,024 inLost-$2,023.7911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over61c2,131$1,300 inWon+$831.153,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c1,204$742 inWon+$462.3812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over62c893.49$554 inWon+$339.531,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over61c522.13$318 inWon+$203.6359549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under22c183$40 inLost-$40.266,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over61c142.82$87 inWon+$55.71,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Over62c83.77$52 inWon+$31.838944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over62c73$45 inWon+$27.7415848.7%77 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over62c56.52$35 inWon+$21.4846952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over62c35.36$22 inWon+$13.4416261.1%99 W · 63 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over62c33.74$21 inWon+$12.8258054.5%316 W · 264 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon+$12.263,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over79c30.9$24 inWon+$6.4910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over62c30.41$19 inWon+$11.561,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over61c21.09$13 inWon+$8.2330048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb4…f3a4backed Over62c18.9$12 inWon+$7.181283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb207…839bbacked Over62c16.97$11 inWon+$6.452142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Over62c16.95$11 inWon+$6.4410768.2%73 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae3…93c3backed Over62c16.95$11 inWon+$6.446065%39 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ac…6347backed Over62c16.29$10 inWon+$6.191478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over62c16.26$10 inWon+$6.1870154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.