MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc88b56747a94daaddf4138e2ae1be99ba1aae13ed5cbddf34aa916a77b1dfe1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Cleveland Guardians, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $495,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $510,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 85,720$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 83,730$47,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,241.12 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 81,710$46,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,169.46 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 53,679$23,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,082.03 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,500 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 25,862$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,862.07 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 19,128$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 13,337$5,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,629.48 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 11,784$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.79 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 11,765$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.43 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 11,200$4,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,816 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…eaa8backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 8,114$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 7,267$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.03 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 7,014$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 6,256$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.64 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Cleveland Guardians | 4c | 6,025$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.39 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 5,907$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.7 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 5,800$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 80c | 5,573$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.44 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 5,151$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.9 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 5,001$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…205cbacked Texas Rangers | 62c | 4,994$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 4,550$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.07 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 4,400$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 4,081$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.88 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 3,792$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.33 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 3,284$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.67 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 3,214$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 3,052$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.45 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 3,018$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.74 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 2,822$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,300$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 2,124$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 2,057$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.74 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 1,834$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.19 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,767$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 1,767$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 1,706$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 1,634$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,499$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.36 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 1,392$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…2c49backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,246$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.32 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 1,205$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 1,174$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 1,132$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.04 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 1,018$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.9 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 999.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 909.09$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.91 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 899.98$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 899.85$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.93 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 882$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.9 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 839.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 724.12$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 712$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 579.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 575$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.25 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 535.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 535$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 530$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 516$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 499.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…c435backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 444.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 439.66$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.66 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 420.04$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.61 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 411$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.84 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 406.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 406.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 386.18$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Texas Rangers | 76c | 361.88$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 337$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 330$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 312.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 306$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 290$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 269.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 266.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 254.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 249.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 246.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 245.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 245$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…0dedbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 243.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 235.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.