Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6f2c8dab333c512bf74a77148b82f8d00bac344204cecdb0f4e33f68de88fa4

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Natus Vincere
Resolved: Feb 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $99,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $125,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,733 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4d84…21b1backed Natus Vincere	21c	12,436$2,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,610.05	181	43.6%79 W · 102 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons	66c	8,723$5,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,972.64	551	57%314 W · 237 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere	35c	7,576$2,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,641.87	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere	25c	6,719$1,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693.17	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons	76c	6,567$4,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,576.48	201	59.7%120 W · 81 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere	36c	5,000$1,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,789.48	1,036	47.2%489 W · 547 L	+15.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Natus Vincere	39c	4,834$1,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,865.83	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Team Falcons	57c	4,748$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,048.42	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere	37c	4,425$1,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,643.7	254	44.5%113 W · 141 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed Team Falcons	60c	4,192$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,691.69	160	58.8%94 W · 66 L	+9.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere	0c	3,807$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.63	616	9.7%60 W · 556 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere	40c	3,222$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.31	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Team Falcons	64c	2,574$1,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926.57	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-8.2wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Team Falcons	66c	1,514$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.42	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere	34c	1,500$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	465	35.1%163 W · 302 L	+22.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed Team Falcons	65c	1,444$934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.9	134	55.2%74 W · 60 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons	63c	1,389$881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.73	476	60.7%289 W · 187 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Team Falcons	67c	1,283$859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.39	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-15.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Natus Vincere	40c	1,255$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	129	48.1%62 W · 67 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Team Falcons	73c	1,240$904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.64	148	54.7%81 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Natus Vincere	28c	1,071$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	103	34%35 W · 68 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons	61c	1,000$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons	59c	1,000$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	511	40.3%206 W · 305 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…4a8dbacked Team Falcons	75c	801.24$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.24	82	58.5%48 W · 34 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons	55c	723.27$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.47	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere	8c	721.84$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.69	920	56.4%519 W · 401 L	+78.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons	62c	635.93$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.11	881	66.7%588 W · 293 L	+76.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Team Falcons	67c	600.3$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.3	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Natus Vincere	44c	569.89$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.98	574	55.4%318 W · 256 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Natus Vincere	12c	499.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	12cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Team Falcons	56c	494.64$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.64	156	53.8%84 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cb…63bebacked Team Falcons	62c	486.89$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.89	124	55.6%69 W · 55 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons	78c	433.16$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.64	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere	7c	424$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.68	400	14.8%59 W · 341 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons	67c	420.13$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.2	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere	43c	400$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.91	360	54.4%196 W · 164 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Team Falcons	59c	389.83$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.83	538	44.4%239 W · 299 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Natus Vincere	11c	371$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.97	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons	58c	347.29$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.29	641	49.9%320 W · 321 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4605…5299backed Team Falcons	61c	328.07$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.07	88	33%29 W · 59 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons	59c	314.99$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.35	807	42.6%344 W · 463 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons	64c	299.85$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.66	581	52.5%305 W · 276 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere	34c	296.56$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.83	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons	58c	287.83$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.89	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Natus Vincere	18c	278.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Natus Vincere	39c	253.69$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.39	103	42.7%44 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Natus Vincere	5c	253.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Team Falcons	66c	227.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.73	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Falcons	60c	215.66$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.26	568	48.8%277 W · 291 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons	57c	211.37$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.89	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf82b…5211backed Natus Vincere	5c	200.29$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2760…ef06backed Team Falcons	63c	199.99$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.99	107	59.8%64 W · 43 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere	8c	191.31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	626	50.5%316 W · 310 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Natus Vincere	39c	182$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.81	256	48%123 W · 133 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere	35c	164.7$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.64	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons	56c	160.13$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.75	605	52.6%318 W · 287 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c2…3c0abacked Natus Vincere	35c	160$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe379…377cbacked Team Falcons	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Team Falcons	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	721	54%389 W · 332 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Team Falcons	74c	142$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3787…57aebacked Team Falcons	76c	131.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.78	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked Team Falcons	74c	128.61$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.66	98	36.7%36 W · 62 L	-8.0wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Team Falcons	65c	109.63$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.37	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Natus Vincere	37c	108.37$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.67	340	63.2%215 W · 125 L	+38.9wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+13%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe63d…0545backed Natus Vincere	38c	100.15$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.93	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Falcons	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	537	57.7%310 W · 227 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Falcons	55c	99.76$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.89	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0aa…6818backed Natus Vincere	24c	97.57$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.42	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Team Falcons	71c	96.43$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.78	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Natus Vincere	31c	96.25$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Natus Vincere	42c	83.31$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	203	49.8%101 W · 102 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Natus Vincere	20c	80$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	726	37.5%272 W · 454 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc736…93f4backed Natus Vincere	37c	77.28$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere	39c	75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	421	45.4%191 W · 230 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Natus Vincere	38c	68.15$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x276d…1cf4backed Natus Vincere	38c	66.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.97	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Team Falcons	63c	65.09$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.83	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3095…7486backed Team Falcons	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Team Falcons	70c	62.85$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.17	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Natus Vincere	34c	61$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.74	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b0…4758backed Team Falcons	64c	58.08$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.04	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Falcons	70c	57.21$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.21	468	72.2%338 W · 130 L	+36.5wins	+0.08per pick	64cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons	57c	55.6$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.03	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Falcons	63c	53.97$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.97	240	52.1%125 W · 115 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Team Falcons	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Natus Vincere	38c	49.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.99	200	46%92 W · 108 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63ec…3b5bbacked Natus Vincere	25c	47.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Team Falcons	69c	44.62$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.83	161	52.2%84 W · 77 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d2…83b3backed Team Falcons	65c	43.08$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.08	115	63.5%73 W · 42 L	+9.1wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Natus Vincere	35c	40.39$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.01	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	63cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64f8…8cadbacked Natus Vincere	38c	39.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc81f…16f1backed Team Falcons	74c	38.55$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.02	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988f…0b07backed Natus Vincere	39c	38.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bef…be32backed Team Falcons	67c	37.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	134	49.3%66 W · 68 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd344…1bc3backed Natus Vincere	38c	32.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef87…a71dbacked Team Falcons	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Natus Vincere	40c	31.96$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.86	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Team Falcons	77c	28.57$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.57	118	57.6%68 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Team Falcons	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	150	64.7%97 W · 53 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group BTeam Falcons won
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event