Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946426647e8f3bd5a877c8bc3e198183a4a7ccb664cb66e2e1548c5bc718927a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 3,847$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 3,480$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Falcons | 66c | 3,116$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.33 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 2,156$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.3 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 2,084$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.76 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Team Falcons | 69c | 2,022$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,331$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.78 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 789.97$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.58 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 788.58$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.49 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…d9d3backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 719.35$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 706.63$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.14 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 690$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.06 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 651.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…c205backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 642.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 575.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Team Falcons | 75c | 554.67$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.68 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 519.07$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 505.59$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Falcons | 65c | 402.75$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 354.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 65c | 308.05$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 302.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Team Falcons | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 299.85$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 298.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 259.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 248.26$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 235$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf41…bfd4backed Team Falcons | 68c | 230$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 210$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Falcons | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd4…897ebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 199.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812d…8f72backed Team Falcons | 64c | 198.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Team Falcons | 67c | 194$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 191$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 186.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 174.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 63c | 169$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 165.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5f5abacked Team Falcons | 66c | 158.19$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 149.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82b…5211backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 141.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Team Falcons | 68c | 130.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 124$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Falcons | 67c | 122$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 115$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Falcons | 66c | 114.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 111.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…5bf9backed Team Falcons | 64c | 106.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Team Falcons | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…9a8cbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 94.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Team Falcons | 61c | 93.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 60c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Team Falcons | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 84.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Team Falcons | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…422ebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 79.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Falcons | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 74.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…041dbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 67.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…507fbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Team Falcons | 72c | 60.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 57.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0d…7e11backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 57.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…6c06backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…ee61backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 55.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Falcons | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…8cadbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 51.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed Team Falcons | 67c | 48.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 48.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 45.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 41.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Team Falcons | 60c | 32.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Team Falcons | 68c | 30.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…a71dbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Team Falcons | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Team Falcons | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Team Falcons | 80c | 28.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 80c | 24.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Team Falcons | 70c | 21.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Team Falcons | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 20.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…1f75backed Team Falcons | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Team Falcons | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.