Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f4701e5a8811698727e2acc3eba1c247e0c1d2e54c6cdc022e6c6c3d8099f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Over | 50c | 44,598$22,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,137.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 22,611$11,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,305.53 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 49c | 7,634$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 51c | 7,180$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 5,999$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.63 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 52c | 5,513$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Over | 51c | 4,212$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 4,203$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.33 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 2,603$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.01 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 51c | 2,478$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 50c | 2,325$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.77 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Under | 51c | 1,846$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 51c | 1,201$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 51c | 923.87$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.43 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 915.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 749.52$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.93 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…0399backed Under | 50c | 638.6$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…e428backed Under | 49c | 477.43$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…3f6cbacked Under | 50c | 446.1$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 328.28$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.14 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 259.95$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 46c | 258.51$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 207.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cf52backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 51c | 200.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 51c | 148$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Under | 51c | 105.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…d8b1backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Under | 51c | 94.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 50c | 89.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 45c | 89.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 24c | 75.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 55c | 72.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 51c | 70.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 73c | 64.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 53c | 56.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 38c | 52.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 48c | 52.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…8984backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 51c | 42.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a0…081bbacked Under | 49c | 40.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…d8ffbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 52c | 38.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 51c | 31.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Under | 49c | 30.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…5fc5backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a7…3becbacked Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 52c | 21.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Under | 52c | 21.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 56c | 20.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…dc1bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.