Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7cb4173ffc72bc2e5f612f9f55c025df037224eef007eab2ac74810e76700ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 78c | 2,663$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 1,705$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.54 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,632$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.96 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 1,414$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 56c | 1,222$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.48 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over | 49c | 607.6$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 551.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 77c | 544.32$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 76c | 305.32$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Under | 49c | 224.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 24c | 167.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 143.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 139.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 77c | 122.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 58c | 120.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 109.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 76c | 84.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 72.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 53c | 68.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 51.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Over | 70c | 44.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…5cdbbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 58c | 34.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.