CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4937ef30854ca9f81e1374c82ad74cd2fd4e417654f7850d6ecceb36927d1296
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, FaZe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked FaZe | 63c | 119,999$75,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,599.37 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ | 37c | 102,789$38,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,757.06 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked MOUZ | 37c | 49,750$18,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,342.53 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ | 37c | 13,050$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,221.5 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked MOUZ | 37c | 1,760$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.4 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,302$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.2 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FaZe | 2c | 912.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed MOUZ | 37c | 724.32$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.32 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed FaZe | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FaZe | 59c | 533.14$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.56 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MOUZ | 37c | 500$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.6 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked MOUZ | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed MOUZ | 37c | 334.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.67 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed FaZe | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed FaZe | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed FaZe | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…74cabacked FaZe | 64c | 168.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed FaZe | 64c | 93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4095…24edbacked MOUZ | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed MOUZ | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed MOUZ | 38c | 46.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7232…de7cbacked FaZe | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked FaZe | 80c | 43.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed FaZe | 37c | 43.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FaZe | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…be40backed FaZe | 63c | 34.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed FaZe | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked FaZe | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.