La Liga · resolved market
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15cc7c46d1523a38024fa2bdba66fa93c338fd95e12e4156298bc462d42bd847
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 2,045$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.5 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 1,711$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.02 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 2c | 1,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…0b1bbacked Over | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 1,331$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.03 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,104$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 1,008$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.69 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 47c | 496.86$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.4 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Over | 51c | 380.39$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Under | 49c | 99.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed Under | 49c | 96.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Under | 49c | 93.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Under | 49c | 90.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 50c | 40.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Under | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6589…fc65backed Over | 51c | 25.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7518…017bbacked Under | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5this page
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.