Australian A League · resolved market
Macarthur FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d0f42e65cdbe376b0a12db90751dda4d6170b5aa316c867bab451fb2bbd2a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,596$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.65 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 1,558$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.45 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 52c | 381.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 188.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 62c | 161.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 132.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed Yes | 60c | 119.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…6563backed Yes | 61c | 116.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 61c | 88.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 61c | 70.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 61c | 68.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…8dccbacked Yes | 70c | 63.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed No | 40c | 49.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 39.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 32.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked No | 40c | 31.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed No | 40c | 29.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked No | 40c | 29.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed No | 40c | 29.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed No | 41c | 27.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 59c | 26.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…c235backed Yes | 61c | 20.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Macarthur FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Macarthur FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-2.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Macarthur FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.