Asian League · resolved market
Gangwon FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b3152cb8101ad02b38b63d252645a66eb7e7bbe7c44be3b204280bd47b6f1b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,997 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 862.88$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 62c | 736.43$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.59 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 60c | 498.33$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed Under | 60c | 423$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Under | 56c | 404.56$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 401.43$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.32 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed Over | 44c | 286.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 270.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 39c | 205.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 66c | 150.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 58c | 149.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…6f8cbacked Over | 44c | 117.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 62c | 114.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Over | 40c | 111.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Over | 40c | 106.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 37c | 104.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Over | 40c | 104.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…2de8backed Over | 40c | 100.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 82.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 39c | 76.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 49c | 61.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 62c | 48.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 40.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 36c | 33.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 54c | 33.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 38c | 31.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 62c | 27.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5this page
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.