TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sacred Heart Pioneersof Saint Peter's Peacocks, Sacred Heart Pioneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Sacred Heart Pioneers49c9,595$4,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,848.9174051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks51c5,966$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.5312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks50c1,999$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.495,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Saint Peter's Peacocks51c935$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.931,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks48c907$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.362,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Sacred Heart Pioneers49c370.78$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.831,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e3a…4d28backed Sacred Heart Pioneers46c340.55$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Sacred Heart Pioneers50c327$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.530746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Saint Peter's Peacocks49c306.97$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.495,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers48c298.51$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2311244.6%50 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers47c212.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.764,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Sacred Heart Pioneers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9857448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Saint Peter's Peacocks48c184$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.323,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb0…c9f8backed Saint Peter's Peacocks54c171.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2e…0433backed Saint Peter's Peacocks54c168.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.021136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Saint Peter's Peacocks50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7556444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658353%44 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Saint Peter's Peacocks50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Saint Peter's Peacocks49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4929442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4993941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9850548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Saint Peter's Peacocks52c21.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…11ffbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104540%18 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.