NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. HC Dynamo Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1b34be08b68490a8d32220b220e73c49569aca2139fcd80f44f79955cc27e0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HC Dynamo Moscowof Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg, HC Dynamo Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 54c | 584.98$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.89 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8c…1977backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 56c | 203.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 56c | 185.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 96.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 89.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 43c | 61.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 53.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 50.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 50.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…d4d9backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 50.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 48.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 47c | 40.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde59…451fbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…5b04backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 57c | 19.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.