TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Western Sydney Wanderers FCof Newcastle United Jets FC, Western Sydney Wanderers FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,880 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Newcastle United Jets FC15c1,055$162 inLost-$162.4998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC76c956.8$727 inWon+$229.9846644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC80c299$238 inWon+$61.1934937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Newcastle United Jets FC22c296.34$65 inLost-$65.117334.2%25 W · 48 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Newcastle United Jets FC24c200$48 inLost-$481050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Newcastle United Jets FC20c160$32 inLost-$3210448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e2f…a3d8backed Newcastle United Jets FC16c112.8$18 inLost-$17.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked Newcastle United Jets FC26c85.93$23 inLost-$22.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC69c61.9$43 inWon+$19.1919849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0742…86a0backed Newcastle United Jets FC28c54.48$15 inLost-$15.28742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Newcastle United Jets FC26c50$13 inLost-$131855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC73c34$25 inWon+$9.3532453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC73c15.01$11 inWon+$3.9814755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.