South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9888f9e0a28a86952b136a5009ea09f177cbea95dc34c5296d1d0a968a9bec04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 53c | 6,400$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 47c | 6,275$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 56c | 3,736$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.31 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 75c | 2,584$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.94 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 2,259$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.54 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 1,541$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.47 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 27c | 1,243$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.58 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 1,184$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 7c | 899.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed No | 7c | 752.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 4c | 709.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 601.44$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.63 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 492.14$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 26c | 464.78$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 43c | 431.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 59c | 406.16$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 12c | 390.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 377.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.04 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes | 52c | 165$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 158.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 75c | 117$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 14c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 69c | 107.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696c…dbe6backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 46c | 104.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 77c | 90.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 55c | 90.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed No | 19c | 88.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked No | 45c | 76.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed No | 44c | 71.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 57c | 59.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked Yes | 72c | 55.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…8e06backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 78c | 50.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 53c | 48.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 49c | 40.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…a595backed Yes | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 78c | 35.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 33.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked No | 32c | 33.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 28.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked No | 50c | 28.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 78c | 23.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d32…2315backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed No | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 54c | 21.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Yes | 55c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278c…b446backed Yes | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-03?this page
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.