South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Platense end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f89ef539b0e9233e086bba4b43c82804e67341f3ae2f471900f098423e63603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,881 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 32c | 9,864$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,707.44 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 5,950$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.73 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 2,053$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.75 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 66c | 1,645$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.81 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 74c | 1,186$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.9 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 26c | 747.59$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.34 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 19c | 525$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…e01abacked Yes | 33c | 493.33$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 454.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 454.33$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.84 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 421.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.87 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 421.12$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.19 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 67c | 270.4$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 68c | 234$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 34c | 231$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 26c | 203.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 11c | 179.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.19 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 20c | 157.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 146.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 121$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 68c | 111$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 34c | 102.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 65c | 98.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 46c | 89.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 15c | 89.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 34c | 86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 82.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 19c | 79.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 46c | 74.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Yes | 26c | 61.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 61.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 29c | 57.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 43c | 55.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 33c | 50.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 34c | 36.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 68c | 36.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 80c | 29.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 69c | 25.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 54c | 21.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ef…39febacked No | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Platense end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-10?No won
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-03-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.