TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,856 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes36c23,787$8,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,466.7118352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c19,701$9,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,166.021,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes34c11,144$3,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,766.2719846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes69c8,232$5,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.058,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No65c3,500$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2255259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No64c3,440$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.2723354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c3,263$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.973,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked No26c2,329$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.183727%10 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed No27c1,355$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.575819%11 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-51.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c1,172$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.511,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes9c999.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902817.9%5 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No54c863.7$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.6328651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c844.09$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.12,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed No66c805.81$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.95850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes30c628.24$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1907732.5%25 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No20c596.94$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.957128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c533.14$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.871,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes14c513.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7039127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1754656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No46c496.29$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.0421132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes35c488.86$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.18554.1%46 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes43c399.55$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.231,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes48c329.94$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.713565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10511459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes17c257.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.427442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6f4…e01abacked Yes32c253.42$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No65c230.72$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No65c230$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.57856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No65c225$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.755160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked No65c217.14$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766572.3%47 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes29c208.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3330841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes11c202.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224617.4%8 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No35c200.78$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203915.4%6 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No67c174.63$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1213557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5117066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed No39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2116041.3%66 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No65c125$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.755160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425560%33 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes71c116.46$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.871376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+78.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No64c110$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.151,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No68c105.23$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.571,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c94.43$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.271,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No31c93.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7715143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No33c90.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7419630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes30c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2767548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No65c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.53857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No65c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.57055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed No71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes15c79.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2918160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No66c74.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.493,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes65c71.08$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5135758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No65c62.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.969361.3%57 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes31c61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195944.1%26 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked No27c59.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.562528%7 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed No70c58.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1711262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513814.5%20 W · 118 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No29c53.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7771619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.53447.1%16 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0742…86a0backed Yes44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226221%13 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56926.1%18 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.517950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No69c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.59363.4%59 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No41c48.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No65c46.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3227053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No65c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.115459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes30c45.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.471,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b57…c0eabacked Yes80c40.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked No34c35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.068655.8%48 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fb…65d3backed Yes42c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.777745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54163.4%26 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No66c28.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.72334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed No71c28.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.216357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.