South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9328141e4f2e79bf39ec05bd6c9f939050ca73d5cf3860130b04e22066f190cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 55c | 249,378$137,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,024.73 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 45c | 229,045$103,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,974.81 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed No | 56c | 25,000$13,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,975.68 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 17,527$7,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,685.23 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 6,198$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 3,132$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 0c | 2,568$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 47c | 2,300$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,666$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.84 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 1,357$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.69 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 44c | 1,061$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.84 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 22c | 969.62$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 899.07$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.49 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 538.02$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.39 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 44c | 505.05$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.83 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 44c | 423.18$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.18 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 331.48$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 4c | 307.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 45c | 220.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.86 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Yes | 44c | 202$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 48c | 182.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6614…f22ebacked Yes | 46c | 134.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 54c | 109.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 46c | 107.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…3987backed Yes | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…2570backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 76.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 46c | 74.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 48c | 62.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked Yes | 49c | 59.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed No | 55c | 54.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 55c | 52.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Yes | 69c | 51.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 66c | 51.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed Yes | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Yes | 63c | 48.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 47.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 37.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Yes | 45c | 34.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed No | 35c | 33.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 76c | 32.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…6656backed No | 55c | 30.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed No | 55c | 30.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 44c | 30.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 44c | 28.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…73b4backed Yes | 45c | 26.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…5a71backed Yes | 49c | 23.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 52c | 20.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Yes | 50c | 20.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 75c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed Yes | 66c | 15.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-02?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-02?No won
- Will CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.