South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65fcb16d78d41ff1470979ebdd178a089ec2b46a6048aca0d4fb33273d625061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,241$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.88 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 32c | 505.05$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.62 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 63c | 503.11$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.65 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 496.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 364.57$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 326$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 90.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 69c | 79.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 69.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 60.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Yes | 20c | 53.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 32c | 48.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 38.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed No | 67c | 37.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 32.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…e7afbacked No | 70c | 31.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 76c | 24.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-02?No won
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.