South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cc847b950f95ba7bba0eb7e4a8fc56de8b0165e6d0ad14794e46357d1f3b43e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 58c | 6,588$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.9 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 1,866$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.57 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,711$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.65 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…9207backed Under | 47c | 778.72$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 42c | 725.72$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.43 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 39c | 270.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 47c | 229.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 44c | 228.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 46c | 197.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 48c | 179.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 58c | 167.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 49c | 153.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 43c | 152.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Under | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 143.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 47c | 102.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 50c | 98.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 43c | 88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 52c | 72.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Over | 58c | 62.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 72c | 51.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 29c | 48.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 43.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 42.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…122ebacked Under | 74c | 39.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 39.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Over | 48c | 39.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 45c | 39.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 54c | 31.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…bb41backed Under | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 54c | 26.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…18debacked Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Under | 69c | 15.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.