South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc4cd13aed039a2a8898306f83afd4ba00262706cb42e2e6fe050bd8ec874be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Internacionalof CR Flamengo, SC Internacional
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CR Flamengo | 38c | 5,064$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.73 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed SC Internacional | 62c | 4,533$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.08 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked SC Internacional | 65c | 599.46$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed CR Flamengo | 38c | 540$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CR Flamengo | 14c | 427.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SC Internacional | 63c | 388.75$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed CR Flamengo | 38c | 269.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed SC Internacional | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed CR Flamengo | 15c | 144.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed CR Flamengo | 43c | 122$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed CR Flamengo | 31c | 95.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CR Flamengo | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed SC Internacional | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed CR Flamengo | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked CR Flamengo | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed CR Flamengo | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed SC Internacional | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed SC Internacional | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked SC Internacional | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed CR Flamengo | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed CR Flamengo | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked SC Internacional | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed SC Internacional | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…c469backed SC Internacional | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed SC Internacional | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)this page
- CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.