Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0369c05f5deb4203332f90b5c1daa4d17647370a5e98bc3a629410937dc32f31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 74c | 5,331$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 25c | 3,968$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.49 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 34c | 2,915$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 1,701$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.46 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 45c | 1,461$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.9 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 822.74$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.89 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 24c | 484.1$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 56c | 469.83$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.1 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 79c | 463.29$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Over | 67c | 436.06$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…3841backed Over | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 79c | 374.95$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Over | 70c | 361.05$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 50c | 327.39$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…7200backed Over | 48c | 301.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 20c | 274.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 54c | 228.48$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 25c | 224$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 46c | 201.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Over | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 68c | 160.71$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 70c | 152.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 48c | 151.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 17c | 150.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 57c | 131.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 66c | 89.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 46c | 86.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 56c | 86.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 63c | 75.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 74.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 65.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…27b0backed Under | 31c | 61.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 59.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…0508backed Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 79c | 55.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 55c | 49.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 49c | 39.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 80c | 21.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3b…913dbacked Over | 74c | 20.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8589…bd9cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Over | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 71c | 17.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
- Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.