TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,818 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Over45c2,195$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.234100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+138.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under55c2,162$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.962650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over41c1,600$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9403946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under47c1,430$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.339431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over34c1,271$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.5998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under56c1,196$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over42c1,160$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.43938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under67c1,096$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.31850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under47c934.84$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.588048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf541…ac67backed Over57c848.14$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c847.24$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.24450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under52c768.49$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.343641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under56c649.41$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.43520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-67.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over40c604.54$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.568129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.383354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under29c554.15$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.591526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over64c518.15$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4514060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Over18c516.52$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd88d…f708backed Over38c506.74$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.18850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over55c497.2$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.741172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over40c443.13$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under57c397.62$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.056435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Under57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.841435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over36c315.1$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.75925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under35c293.11$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5923551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under58c285.32$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.685846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over44c278.94$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.214546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over52c256.64$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.232161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over31c255.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0924732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Under47c247.2$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.181741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over11c221.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.471275%9 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.54per pick21cpaid+326.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over51c221.81$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.933452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under36c206.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.422540%10 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f7…cb68backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.251952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Under55c176.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c173.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.553737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under44c161.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3410633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…b336backed Under48c155.41$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c148.9$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7415140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under46c148.71$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6514951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under65c136.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.523658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Under79c133.35$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.741020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over37c125.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.292142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over39c123.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.344337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under71c106.35$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under55c99.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.491926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-54.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over57c86.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.421181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+50.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Under54c84.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under63c78.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7613540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over23c73.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.048353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over30c73.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.39446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over34c73.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.63158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over24c72.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.988853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over28c69.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.383141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Over21c61.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.892236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.82669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3492…969abacked Under55c58.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Over59c54.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Under55c53.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.19616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-59.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over56c52.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.941163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under47c45.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over55c44.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.252060%12 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Under55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Under46c43.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.041428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over56c43.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.123327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under68c43.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.421163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1a…27b0backed Over29c37.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over63c37.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7916865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over55c36.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.451855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Over55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.928247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.922060%12 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Under55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Under54c34.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Under43c33.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.491040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c30.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3743748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over58c29.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.283060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under45c28.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.591266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Under55c27.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819b…6a57backed Over57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.022152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over54c25.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.622556%14 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under45c25.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over58c25.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.461181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+44.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Over54c23.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…2d8fbacked Over49c22.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3b…913dbacked Under65c22.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8a2…b27bbacked Under54c20.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80b3…e5d9backed Over63c19.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.19887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2413…2442backed Under62c19.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.