Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8fd8945a2d48e46bfd409e2234071c64bcdb501f62d8831a112750bb06d708c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,469$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.91 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 1,334$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.62 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 1,090$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.09 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…3841backed Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 23c | 864.4$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.71 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 861.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 38c | 849.63$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.44 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 52c | 724.88$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.94 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 17c | 550.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.81 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 539.83$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.89 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 49c | 495.62$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 49c | 439.2$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 361.77$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.72 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Over | 41c | 353.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 336.81$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 48c | 291.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 274.71$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 244.35$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 61c | 189$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 18c | 174.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 28c | 128.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 16c | 123.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 25c | 100.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 29c | 82.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 28c | 68.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 28c | 67.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 29c | 62.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 58c | 41.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 54c | 41.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 37.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 55c | 35.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 53c | 34.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 66c | 29.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 53c | 21.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 58c | 20.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over | 58c | 19.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Nashville SC vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nashville SC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.