MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7e759aff32db09c4dbdd7baea3399cd562d5f9268ca6fdd579ffe3d8a39c9da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 16,194$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,569.87 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 10,782$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,632.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 5,833$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 3,823$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 2,195$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.97 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 2,042$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.15 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 68c | 1,641$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.08 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 1,296$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.4 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 1,212$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.27 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 692.48$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 654.72$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 632.93$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.55 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…b9dbbacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 603.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 458.87$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.45 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 413.31$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 303$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 281$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 221.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Texas Rangers | 66c | 221.19$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Texas Rangers | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 140$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 130.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 120.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Detroit Tigers | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 115$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Texas Rangers | 32c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 39c | 101.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 97.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 13c | 93.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 92.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 77c | 89.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 89.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Texas Rangers | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 77.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 75.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…8d9cbacked Detroit Tigers | 27c | 74.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 63.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Detroit Tigers | 66c | 61.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 60.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 58.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 51.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 40.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 39.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Detroit Tigers | 66c | 35.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…4d46backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 24.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…6468backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 18.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.