TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over49c106,870$52,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,771.4946949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under51c24,337$12,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,404.542,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c15,148$7,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,725.674,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under52c12,886$6,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,652.473,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under52c12,642$6,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,540.9711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over45c10,000$4,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,500.9648451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c9,449$5,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,196.6110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c8,052$4,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,106.44,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under51c6,259$3,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1928,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Under51c4,414$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.1444945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c3,267$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.171,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c3,235$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.876,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under52c3,100$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62111952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under51c2,245$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.384,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Under51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07112255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under51c1,866$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.1486653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under52c1,807$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.972,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under51c1,250$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.516945%76 W · 93 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under52c1,100$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5681,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c1,040$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.268053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under50c1,007$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.2836048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over47c923.3$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.3589153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under51c882.35$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45032350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under51c752$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5255653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under51c746$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.4628347.3%134 W · 149 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c641$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.7341051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c626.1$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31861352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c597$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.471,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c452.58$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8227254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c418.89$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.318,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Under51c403.92$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2062653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d68…d64cbacked Under57c381.02$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2171060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c310.92$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2440341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under51c306$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0621057.6%121 W · 89 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under51c297.08$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.513,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Under51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under52c260$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.392,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under51c256.75$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1847350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c248.25$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.161,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under51c245.53$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.222,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under51c233$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.831,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf0…de6dbacked Over50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under52c220$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.673849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over50c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10199447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10039440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1069,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10221653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009543.2%41 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under54c185$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over46c185$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.929147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Over50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8544949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over36c159.4$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.025,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6234255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under51c132.51$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5843459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Under51c125.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8440753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c120.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.895,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under53c112.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5123758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under55c107.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5552228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under51c105$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.551,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under48c104.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Over50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5168846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed Under51c97.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.836552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under51c91.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.572,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under42c83.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.742,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Under48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.441236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under51c74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.372,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Over42c71.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7634443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.716155.9%90 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.177050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…b898backed Over54c67.03$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.043946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Under51c58.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0653644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Under54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016251.9%84 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Under47c53.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.214544.8%65 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over53c51.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9831258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over47c50.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.941,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Over52c50.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.151849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under48c45.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Over56c45.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.871,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.557050%35 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over48c41.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.718,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under52c41.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecde…04efbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under52c39.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6242047.9%201 W · 219 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Under52c37.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3434451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under48c34.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6925448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9128639.2%112 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under48c28.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8612541.6%52 W · 73 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2022…37d9backed Under44c25.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.057334.2%25 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under51c23.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.822,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.561,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Under51c20.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.537448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Under50c20.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1714750.3%74 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under54c18.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.350954%275 W · 234 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.