MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7c896773d7ed1ec486bca9428ad02b3cf3191fd09420749a190d84b9b088a13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 41c | 45,938$18,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,238.73 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 59c | 22,461$13,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,349.26 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 59c | 7,369$4,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 54c | 4,516$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.66 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 59c | 4,163$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 60c | 1,652$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,421$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 40c | 1,393$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.48 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 40c | 1,149$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.61 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 59c | 806.52$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.85 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 61c | 761.43$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 61c | 551.06$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.33 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 39c | 506.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.4 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 506.16$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 60c | 500$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 47c | 404.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 40c | 290.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.08 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 60c | 289.86$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.92 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 272$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 60c | 260.62$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.37 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 58c | 250.5$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 59c | 240.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 236.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 38c | 230.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 39c | 225$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 30c | 190.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 187.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 60c | 169$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 59c | 158.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 40c | 147.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 61c | 142.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 59c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 25c | 137.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 35c | 86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 61c | 75.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 62c | 75.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 58c | 70.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 16c | 63.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 60c | 61.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 43c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 61c | 49.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…31fdbacked Under | 61c | 48.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -11.1wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5c41…8794backed Over | 54c | 38.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 61c | 34.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 40c | 30.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…d891backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Under | 61c | 23.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 69c | 22.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 61c | 19.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Under | 61c | 17.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.