Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 6.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15bd09f0c4213200faea352dfb6fe005583bc19dac6baeabaa8152bcdf02259f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 49c | 4,645$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.2 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Over | 47c | 1,890$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.54 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Over | 48c | 1,866$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.06 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 53c | 1,629$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.38 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 52c | 1,049$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.86 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 52c | 507.69$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.69 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 51c | 438.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.39 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 54c | 402.03$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 212.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Under | 57c | 188.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 146.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 48c | 120.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Over | 45c | 111.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 53c | 88.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked Under | 57c | 77.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 69.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Over | 55c | 63.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…c22fbacked Under | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 52c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 6.5 Cornersthis page
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Team to Take First CornerSenegal won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.