Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a5410086fdaaae11e3099dbe43d2f281abc070e5b244954054b5190794a5269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Over | 45c | 2,821$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.4 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 53c | 2,617$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 45c | 2,186$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.37 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 55c | 994.99$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.24 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 45c | 786.67$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.67 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 52c | 783.69$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.52 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Under | 52c | 757.6$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.95 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 699.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.84 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 47c | 552.56$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.86 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 47c | 501$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.53 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 47c | 346.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.58 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 54c | 284.09$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 188.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Under | 55c | 183.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 168$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…1e93backed Over | 48c | 56.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 54c | 30.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd8…1a9bbacked Under | 54c | 18.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Team to Take First CornerSenegal won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.