Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4ab956748bfd58b15a8cf86b02358f7eacf563f250f8bdc2a2f4bb644bdaa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 26c | 4,137$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.62 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 74c | 3,483$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.55 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 28c | 2,477$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.88 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Over | 71c | 1,848$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.55 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…1cdebacked Over | 69c | 1,444$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.04 | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 30c | 759.34$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 74c | 675.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 19c | 523.07$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 69c | 424.7$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 28c | 415.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Over | 72c | 334$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 74c | 176.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 28c | 157.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 30c | 120.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 74c | 120.26$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 30c | 98.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 32c | 79.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 32c | 45.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 32c | 40.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 32c | 33.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 30c | 32.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed Under | 34c | 29.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…1460backed Over | 78c | 29.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…ba7abacked Over | 75c | 14.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Team to Take First CornerSenegal won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.