CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe073b004eaacf953bf7c2434e639a34a7515d0e4f7413ec523cde744712ee695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patins da Ferrariof Patins da Ferrari, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Guara Esports | 1c | 10,107$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Patins da Ferrari | 70c | 5,458$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.58 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Guara Esports | 31c | 1,782$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.97 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Patins da Ferrari | 73c | 1,544$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.8 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Guara Esports | 29c | 1,288$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.78 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Guara Esports | 27c | 1,123$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.96 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Patins da Ferrari | 73c | 923.99$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 455 | 65.9%300 W · 155 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Patins da Ferrari | 74c | 876.28$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.37 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Patins da Ferrari | 70c | 848.11$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 261 | 34.5%90 W · 171 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Patins da Ferrari | 68c | 847.14$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.08 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Guara Esports | 27c | 675$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 473 | 47.1%223 W · 250 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Patins da Ferrari | 70c | 625.01$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Guara Esports | 32c | 594.47$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.3 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Patins da Ferrari | 70c | 571.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Guara Esports | 31c | 537.77$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.83 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Guara Esports | 37c | 536.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Guara Esports | 46c | 510.21$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.7 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Guara Esports | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Guara Esports | 30c | 421.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 350 | 43.1%151 W · 199 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Patins da Ferrari | 68c | 396.32$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…4893backed Guara Esports | 30c | 333.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Guara Esports | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Guara Esports | 29c | 274.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Guara Esports | 30c | 264.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked Guara Esports | 31c | 220$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Guara Esports | 30c | 217.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 443 | 44%195 W · 248 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Patins da Ferrari | 67c | 202.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Guara Esports | 29c | 184.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Guara Esports | 29c | 163.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Guara Esports | 32c | 161.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Guara Esports | 36c | 155.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Guara Esports | 24c | 153.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Guara Esports | 34c | 150.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed Guara Esports | 30c | 146.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Guara Esports | 26c | 140.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Guara Esports | 32c | 122$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Guara Esports | 30c | 105.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Guara Esports | 26c | 80.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Patins da Ferrari | 78c | 66.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked Guara Esports | 29c | 64.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Guara Esports | 27c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 399 | 44.1%176 W · 223 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Guara Esports | 29c | 44.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Guara Esports | 29c | 43.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Patins da Ferrari | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Patins da Ferrari | 68c | 30.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Patins da Ferrari | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Patins da Ferrari | 70c | 28.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…722ebacked Patins da Ferrari | 72c | 20.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Patins da Ferrari | 72c | 20.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 240 | 65.4%157 W · 83 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StagePatins da Ferrari won
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerPatins da Ferrari won
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerPatins da Ferrari won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5)Patins da Ferrari won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.