CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f6b8ccf9f8bfe45af05a30d6744b5cbe1f728de79227415563e24830c12cb3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patins da Ferrariof Patins da Ferrari, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Guara Esports | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Guara Esports | 21c | 943.51$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Guara Esports | 3c | 871$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Guara Esports | 11c | 821.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Guara Esports | 20c | 624.45$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Guara Esports | 16c | 594.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Guara Esports | 21c | 570.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Guara Esports | 2c | 552.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Patins da Ferrari | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Guara Esports | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Guara Esports | 19c | 484.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Guara Esports | 19c | 437.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Guara Esports | 21c | 405.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Guara Esports | 15c | 405.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Patins da Ferrari | 80c | 347.85$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Guara Esports | 15c | 342$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Patins da Ferrari | 79c | 340$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Guara Esports | 14c | 307.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed Guara Esports | 12c | 247.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Guara Esports | 18c | 233.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Guara Esports | 19c | 202.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf3…7513backed Guara Esports | 17c | 200.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Guara Esports | 17c | 188.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Guara Esports | 19c | 152.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Guara Esports | 17c | 113.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 317 | 41.3%131 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Guara Esports | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Patins da Ferrari | 79c | 103.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Guara Esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Guara Esports | 22c | 99.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 408 | 39.2%160 W · 248 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Guara Esports | 21c | 97.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Guara Esports | 18c | 94.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 446 | 43.5%194 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Guara Esports | 19c | 57.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Patins da Ferrari | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Patins da Ferrari | 80c | 35.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Patins da Ferrari | 78c | 33.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Patins da Ferrari | 79c | 25.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StagePatins da Ferrari won
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerPatins da Ferrari won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5)Patins da Ferrari won
- Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)Patins da Ferrari won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.