CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd31dc02741d8bb906a9b66715a29a7859e0af8dbd8f1f3283d9babff8b6d28eb

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Patins da Ferrariof Patins da Ferrari, Guara Esports
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $82,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $80,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,519 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Guara Esports	10c	5,954$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.3	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Guara Esports	9c	3,508$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.31	883	30.7%271 W · 612 L	-63.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Guara Esports	14c	3,500$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.88	552	36.2%200 W · 352 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Guara Esports	10c	3,417$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.72	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa34…6628backed Guara Esports	13c	2,019$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.5	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Guara Esports	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	574	0%0 W · 574 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d67…5f14backed Guara Esports	11c	1,776$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.2	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Guara Esports	10c	1,598$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.62	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Guara Esports	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	121	57.9%70 W · 51 L	+7.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Guara Esports	10c	1,500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.09	405	42%170 W · 235 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked Guara Esports	13c	1,456$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.17	97	32%31 W · 66 L	-11.7wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-36%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Guara Esports	11c	1,421$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.36	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Guara Esports	9c	1,251$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.3	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Guara Esports	12c	1,244$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.9	336	27.7%93 W · 243 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Guara Esports	12c	1,135$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	192	45.8%88 W · 104 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Guara Esports	11c	1,094$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.1	482	40%193 W · 289 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Guara Esports	10c	1,015$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.49	583	43.6%254 W · 329 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Guara Esports	10c	920.6$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.52	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Guara Esports	11c	908.41$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.74	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Guara Esports	10c	857.86$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.15	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Guara Esports	14c	842.73$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.07	186	45.2%84 W · 102 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Guara Esports	11c	800.91$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.1	237	32.9%78 W · 159 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Guara Esports	11c	664.73$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.07	489	48.9%239 W · 250 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Guara Esports	8c	586.88$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.95	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Guara Esports	21c	570.34$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.62	153	49.7%76 W · 77 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed Guara Esports	12c	509.88$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Guara Esports	11c	457$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.27	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Guara Esports	8c	442.02$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.36	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Guara Esports	12c	433.31$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	545	43.5%237 W · 308 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Guara Esports	11c	430.01$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.27	259	34%88 W · 171 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Guara Esports	9c	425.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.16	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Guara Esports	11c	417.47$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.47	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Guara Esports	10c	415.18$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Guara Esports	8c	408$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.64	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Guara Esports	9c	407$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.63	170	38.8%66 W · 104 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Guara Esports	11c	400$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	499	35.1%175 W · 324 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x980a…315cbacked Guara Esports	11c	384.92$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Guara Esports	11c	383$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.31	758	33.4%253 W · 505 L	-48.9wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Guara Esports	10c	380$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.75	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed Guara Esports	10c	379.48$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.98	223	46.2%103 W · 120 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Guara Esports	12c	342.67$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.12	334	48.2%161 W · 173 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fdb…0d6fbacked Guara Esports	13c	310$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.74	116	39.7%46 W · 70 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Guara Esports	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	358	39.4%141 W · 217 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed Guara Esports	6c	289.04$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.51	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Guara Esports	11c	260.56$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.63	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7248…cb88backed Guara Esports	20c	246.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Guara Esports	11c	242.93$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.71	193	40.4%78 W · 115 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked Guara Esports	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	162	36.4%59 W · 103 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Guara Esports	9c	219.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.48	147	35.4%52 W · 95 L	-12.6wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed Guara Esports	12c	203.55$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.64	414	37%153 W · 261 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292b…23cebacked Guara Esports	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.98	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7380…9019backed Guara Esports	11c	185.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.39	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-33%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Guara Esports	12c	184.88$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.19	835	43.6%364 W · 471 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Guara Esports	11c	183.33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed Guara Esports	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	308	31.2%96 W · 212 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Guara Esports	11c	179.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	167	54.5%91 W · 76 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked Guara Esports	11c	169.52$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.65	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Guara Esports	9c	168$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Guara Esports	9c	165$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	219	50.2%110 W · 109 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Guara Esports	11c	157.2$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.29	359	47.9%172 W · 187 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Guara Esports	8c	152.1$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.55	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Guara Esports	19c	149.97$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.49	172	51.2%88 W · 84 L	+13.3wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Guara Esports	11c	128.29$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.69	600	32.3%194 W · 406 L	-49.7wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Guara Esports	10c	126.29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.01	200	45%90 W · 110 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Patins da Ferrari	79c	125.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.79	773	51.2%396 W · 377 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Guara Esports	9c	118.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.14	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Guara Esports	10c	116.95$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	512	52.1%267 W · 245 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d6…18a2backed Guara Esports	18c	108.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Guara Esports	13c	81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	256	43.4%111 W · 145 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Guara Esports	20c	68$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	341	40.8%139 W · 202 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3c…4169backed Patins da Ferrari	77c	64.1$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+4.4wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Guara Esports	20c	61.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	297	31%92 W · 205 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f8…0cbbbacked Patins da Ferrari	80c	20.35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.07	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	79cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Patins da Ferrari	79c	20.01$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Patins da Ferrari	80c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3	285	49.5%141 W · 144 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagethis page
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerPatins da Ferrari won
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerPatins da Ferrari won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5)Patins da Ferrari won
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)Patins da Ferrari won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event