CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32ccda345feda500833368ec7ab06551927f2cb13643dfdf3354bddf0b66c49d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 74c | 4,482$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.18 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 72c | 1,255$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.96 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Over | 28c | 934.46$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.26 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Over | 29c | 871.7$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 72c | 689.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Over | 25c | 530.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.23 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 29c | 503.54$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Over | 29c | 494.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.4 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 24c | 491.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 4c | 474.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 26c | 330.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 27c | 246.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 26c | 243.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 74c | 234.63$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 27c | 219.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Over | 29c | 196.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 27c | 190.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Over | 26c | 184.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 25c | 152$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 24c | 136.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 30c | 128$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 31c | 108.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 25c | 104.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 30c | 87.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 26c | 86.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Over | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 27c | 74.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Over | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Over | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Over | 35c | 58.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Over | 25c | 58.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Under | 76c | 53.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 73c | 48.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Over | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Under | 77c | 28.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Under | 75c | 23.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 74c | 20.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 74c | 17.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StagePatins da Ferrari won
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerPatins da Ferrari won
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerPatins da Ferrari won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5)Patins da Ferrari won
- Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)Patins da Ferrari won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.