South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd800593d0c1e4a2f61418cba38175e4e6ebaa3cb766b43d00b9343150e8d0a7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 22c | 5,436$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.95 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 23c | 4,496$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.7 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 13c | 2,198$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.42 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,462$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…d61abacked Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 10c | 1,020$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 21c | 435.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Yes | 18c | 416$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…1c7dbacked Yes | 8c | 255.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 188.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 12c | 187.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 24c | 187.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 19c | 178$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 168.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 15c | 150.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 77c | 143$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 25c | 137.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Yes | 24c | 136.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 25c | 105.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 101.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 17c | 88.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 20c | 84.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 20c | 84.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…05dbbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed Yes | 20c | 74.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 23c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 77c | 21.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 79c | 13.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 78c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.