Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9153463b912e70bc7bf6b47a429395e2a13e4f18bee4ff7dcce2aafff536c167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 3,815$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.62 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 2,660$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.3 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…b722backed Over | 46c | 2,571$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.47 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 48c | 2,087$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.96 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 59c | 1,143$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 17c | 1,055$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.56 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 56c | 658.83$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.46 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Over | 18c | 543.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 52c | 499.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 42c | 417.48$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.14 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 46c | 256.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 51c | 204.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Over | 46c | 135.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked Under | 12c | 126.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 104.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 89.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 75.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…2081backed Over | 79c | 63.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 55.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked Over | 33c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Under | 54c | 21.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…88dfbacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.