Asian League · resolved market
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdceb73fe12304f6de04fbef398b43fc3ca9e5eefa49f1034a8f6da8d0cfdacf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Under | 28c | 14,203$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 74c | 5,199$3,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.35 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 3,723$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.29 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 69c | 3,192$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.05 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 2,120$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.42 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 72c | 1,509$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.59 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 29c | 1,496$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.71 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Over | 69c | 1,454$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 72c | 1,388$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.68 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 72c | 1,388$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.68 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 29c | 1,303$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.24 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 31c | 1,256$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.36 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.41 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…666fbacked Under | 28c | 502.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 26c | 501$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 67c | 333$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Under | 35c | 214.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 29c | 203$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 72c | 196$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 28c | 155.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 131.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 77c | 125.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 107$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 29c | 93.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 64c | 75.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 32c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…30d8backed Over | 69c | 57.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 71c | 50.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 27c | 46.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 72c | 34.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 68c | 32.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5this page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: FC Anyang O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: FC Anyang O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: FC Anyang O/U 2.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.