Asian League · resolved market
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x157829759ac0dd12af152cd13722eb46a8a13fe942c1335ca9af3d437c023d03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 19c | 1,843$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.44 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 16c | 1,447$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.81 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 20c | 1,180$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.48 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 39c | 1,088$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.11 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…8b76backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 10c | 488.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.2 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 34c | 472.62$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 45c | 448.78$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 77c | 367.73$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.43 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 20c | 272.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.73 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 68c | 196.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 22c | 182.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.52 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Under | 79c | 165.41$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 30c | 132.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 102.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 29c | 71.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…c5efbacked Over | 25c | 66.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Over | 35c | 49.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 44cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 31c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 54c | 32.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 29.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Under | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5this page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: FC Anyang O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: FC Anyang O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: FC Anyang O/U 2.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.