Asian League · resolved market
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99007947be2e254f51d7f0b0dd8ff5ee7a72210be0aef0c072e09c1c77340f90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 36c | 1,026$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.23 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 48c | 924.38$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.98 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 30c | 519$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 52c | 476.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 445.83$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.05 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 76c | 391.79$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 35c | 353.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.92 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 54c | 337$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 214 | 74.3%159 W · 55 L | +44.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 20c | 328.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 62c | 325.87$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.18 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 321.74$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 233.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…8b76backed Over | 77c | 223.22$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…30d8backed Over | 23c | 201.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 179.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 153.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 76c | 148.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 24c | 146.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 43c | 144.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 134.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 19c | 127.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 143 | 10.5%15 W · 128 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 53c | 126.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 58c | 98.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Under | 54c | 89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 64c | 72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 46c | 63.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 37c | 62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 79c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 45.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 52c | 34.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 34.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 58c | 34.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 36c | 33.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Under | 33c | 33.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Under | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 49c | 33.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 75c | 31.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 76c | 30.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Under | 76c | 23.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…2ef1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 54c | 19.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 18.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 79c | 12.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5this page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: FC Anyang O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: FC Anyang O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: FC Anyang O/U 2.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.