TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,008 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under36c2,226$797 inWon+$1,429.031,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over66c2,129$1,405 inLost-$1,405.4685851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Over60c1,005$604 inLost-$604.065651.8%29 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Under34c999.99$340 inWon+$659.9915911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under37c535$200 inWon+$335.0582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef5…e92fbacked Under64c389.81$249 inWon+$140.333633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked Over36c389.81$140 inLost-$140.338062.5%50 W · 30 L+11.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over59c232.4$138 inLost-$138.1165737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74a…25a2backed Over62c172.65$108 inLost-$107.61250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under42c170$71 inWon+$98.624540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Over62c160$99 inLost-$99.28256.1%46 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under34c143.76$49 inWon+$94.933,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over80c100$80 inLost-$8011170.3%78 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over69c87.66$60 inLost-$60.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under27c63.03$17 inWon+$45.872,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc7…164ebacked Over63c59.43$37 inLost-$37.44785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+69.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa14e…61dabacked Over62c50$31 inLost-$31742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa9…58eebacked Over66c31.32$21 inLost-$20.673339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b32…9bf8backed Under39c29.99$12 inWon+$18.262240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbcb…2941backed Over66c29.5$19 inLost-$19.479753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x956b…7eb1backed Over71c28.17$20 inLost-$209659.4%57 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Over62c26.31$16 inLost-$16.312441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Over71c21.13$15 inLost-$1512661.9%78 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.