Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf331ec72f62df2b3928b202fc7cdd03e533d6d51442944f5fe2e38bbd963285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe4f…6d4bbacked Over | 69c | 3,525$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 31c | 3,500$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 69c | 1,682$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.22 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 31c | 1,336$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.08 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 32c | 676.55$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked Under | 30c | 374.54$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 70c | 270.35$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…0d36backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 193.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 31c | 186$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 30c | 167.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a90…5a4dbacked Over | 70c | 156.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Over | 69c | 154$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1207…9795backed Under | 29c | 151.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 23c | 88.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 69c | 56.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 31c | 44.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…2941backed Over | 78c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Take First CornerColombia won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.