Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe7ee624bca4b6ae36eb013e513e84d7e1e449ac1678e35b17861ae347022680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Under | 59c | 5,008$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.96 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 2,518$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.89 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 44c | 1,299$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.04 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Over | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 567.73$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.71 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 41c | 506.67$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.87 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f2aabacked Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165c…d943backed Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…fea7backed Under | 56c | 309.88$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Over | 44c | 267.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 293 | 41%120 W · 173 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 42c | 247$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 223$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 215.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 56c | 171.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…6b5fbacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 200 | 25.5%51 W · 149 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Over | 41c | 124.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 117.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 57c | 107.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…47ebbacked Under | 59c | 72.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…4a25backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 25c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 75c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…9a99backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Under | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…e302backed Over | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 301 | 37.2%112 W · 189 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked Under | 56c | 33.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Under | 57c | 19.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Take First CornerColombia won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.