Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc09f5c190878031ff71eb7b60433542eeb3614932e6b1ca7343802f2cfd3993b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0785…5405backed Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 50c | 375.97$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.85 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under | 48c | 292.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 44c | 288.09$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.83 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 46c | 274$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fd…b717backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…cd80backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 53c | 188.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 41.2%100 W · 143 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Under | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 54c | 156$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 42c | 100.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…3493backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…95d3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 74.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 54.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a44…cf66backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa882…e517backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…7a42backed Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 49c | 34.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…4a25backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…dad6backed Over | 62c | 23.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…a66ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Take First CornerColombia won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.